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Euan has questioned whether or not an increase in water Minimize similar to this might have a substantial enough impact on generation to explain all of the declines we see. Let me try out for making an estimate on how substantial it may be. We are unable to do that with any precision in the fractional movement curve because we do not have an actual fractional move curve for this part of Ghawar. Nonetheless, There exists other facts in Paper #93439 which will allow us estimate this. Especially, the paper incorporates a dialogue of what fraction of production emanates from at the rear of the flood front, versus before the flood front.
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These placements aren't precise - they could easily be a few miles north or south of where I've proven them, but I am really self-confident that I am in the proper general location. Now, the conclusion I attract from this placement is as follows: the cross sections are fairly representative of your crest of North 'Ain Dar.
One example is, the tutorial I referenced earlier demonstrates this photograph for a typical fractional movement curve:
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